๐ ๐๐ก๐๐ง ๐๐ข๐ ๐ ๐๐ซ ๐๐ฌ๐งโ๐ญ ๐๐๐ญ๐ญ๐๐ซ: ๐๐จ๐ฐ ๐๐ฏ๐๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐ง๐ ๐๐๐๐ฅ๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐ญ๐ฌ ๐๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ ๐ ๐ฎ๐ง๐๐ซ๐๐ข๐ฌ๐ ๐๐ข๐ญ๐๐ก
- Gustavo Valente

- Jul 22
- 1 min read

Everyone talks about the โValleys of Deathโ in biotech โ but hereโs one few mention:
๐จ Building your business case around the wrong production scale.
10,000 t/year looks impressive. โEconomies of scale.โ Investor confidence. Bigger = betterโฆ right?
โ Not if your ๐ฎ๐ง๐ข๐ญ ๐๐๐จ๐ง๐จ๐ฆ๐ข๐๐ฌ, ๐ฆ๐๐ซ๐ค๐๐ญ ๐ญ๐ข๐ฆ๐ข๐ง๐ , ๐๐ง๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ง๐๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ซ๐ฎ๐ง๐ฐ๐๐ฒ canโt support it.
Hereโs what usually goes wrong:
๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐ฑ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ฌ โ custom fermenters, oversized utilities (steam, air, cooling), and working capital balloons
๐๐๐๐ ๐ฌ๐ญ๐๐ฒ๐ฌ ๐๐ฅ๐๐ญ โ utilization is low, yields vary, ops cost donโt shrink fast enough
ย ๐๐ฅ๐จ๐ฐ ๐ฆ๐๐ซ๐ค๐๐ญ ๐ฎ๐ฉ๐ญ๐๐ค๐ โ early buyers want samples or short-term contracts, not annual supply
๐๐๐ซ๐ ๐ข๐ง๐ฌ ๐ฏ๐๐ง๐ข๐ฌ๐ก โ your sweet spot was at 3,000 t/year. You just skipped it.
โ Thatโs where ๐๐๐๐ก๐ง๐จ-๐๐๐จ๐ง๐จ๐ฆ๐ข๐ ๐๐ง๐๐ฅ๐ฒ๐ฌ๐ข๐ฌ (๐๐๐) changes everything.
A good TEA lets you test:
ย โ๏ธ CAPEX & OPEX from 500 โ 5,000 t/year
ย โ๏ธ Ramp-up timelines & realistic throughput
ย โ๏ธ How much cash is tied up before payment
ย โ๏ธ Why raise $50M if $20M gets you to profitability?
๐ง ๐๐๐๐ฅ ๐๐๐ฌ๐:
ย A startup modeled 10,000 t/year. Looked great on paper.
ย After running scenarios:
โ 3,000 t/year was the sweet spot
ย โ Breakeven moved ๐ ๐ฒ๐๐๐ซ๐ฌ ๐๐๐ซ๐ฅ๐ข๐๐ซ
ย โ Capital need dropped from $๐๐๐ โ $๐๐๐
Same vision. Smarter execution. Stronger story.
๐ก ๐ ๐จ๐ฎ๐ง๐๐๐ซ๐ฌ:
ย Thereโs no one-size-fits-all.
ย Thereโs only the right scale for your product, market, and capital strategy.
๐ฉ Want to ๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ฌ-๐ญ๐๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฒ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ ๐ฌ๐๐๐ฅ๐-๐ฎ๐ฉ ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐๐งs?
ย Thatโs exactly what I do for biotech and foodtech startups every week.
๐ DM me or visitย sustech-innovation.comย letโs make sure your business case scales with you, not against you.



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