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๐Ÿ” ๐–๐ก๐ž๐ง ๐๐ข๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ซ ๐ˆ๐ฌ๐งโ€™๐ญ ๐๐ž๐ญ๐ญ๐ž๐ซ: ๐‡๐จ๐ฐ ๐Ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐ฆ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐’๐œ๐š๐ฅ๐ž ๐‡๐ฎ๐ซ๐ญ๐ฌ ๐˜๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ ๐…๐ฎ๐ง๐๐ซ๐š๐ข๐ฌ๐ž ๐๐ข๐ญ๐œ๐ก

  • Writer: Gustavo Valente
    Gustavo Valente
  • Jul 22
  • 1 min read
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Everyone talks about the โ€œValleys of Deathโ€ in biotech โ€” but hereโ€™s one few mention:


๐Ÿšจ Building your business case around the wrong production scale.


10,000 t/year looks impressive. โ€œEconomies of scale.โ€ Investor confidence. Bigger = betterโ€ฆ right?


โŒ Not if your ๐ฎ๐ง๐ข๐ญ ๐ž๐œ๐จ๐ง๐จ๐ฆ๐ข๐œ๐ฌ, ๐ฆ๐š๐ซ๐ค๐ž๐ญ ๐ญ๐ข๐ฆ๐ข๐ง๐ , ๐š๐ง๐ ๐Ÿ๐ฎ๐ง๐๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ซ๐ฎ๐ง๐ฐ๐š๐ฒ canโ€™t support it.



Hereโ€™s what usually goes wrong:


๐‚๐€๐๐„๐— ๐ž๐ฑ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐ž๐ฌ โ€“ custom fermenters, oversized utilities (steam, air, cooling), and working capital balloons


๐‚๐Ž๐†๐’ ๐ฌ๐ญ๐š๐ฒ๐ฌ ๐Ÿ๐ฅ๐š๐ญ โ€“ utilization is low, yields vary, ops cost donโ€™t shrink fast enough


ย ๐’๐ฅ๐จ๐ฐ ๐ฆ๐š๐ซ๐ค๐ž๐ญ ๐ฎ๐ฉ๐ญ๐š๐ค๐ž โ€“ early buyers want samples or short-term contracts, not annual supply


๐Œ๐š๐ซ๐ ๐ข๐ง๐ฌ ๐ฏ๐š๐ง๐ข๐ฌ๐ก โ€“ your sweet spot was at 3,000 t/year. You just skipped it.



โœ… Thatโ€™s where ๐“๐ž๐œ๐ก๐ง๐จ-๐„๐œ๐จ๐ง๐จ๐ฆ๐ข๐œ ๐€๐ง๐š๐ฅ๐ฒ๐ฌ๐ข๐ฌ (๐“๐„๐€) changes everything.


A good TEA lets you test:


ย โœ”๏ธ CAPEX & OPEX from 500 โ†’ 5,000 t/year


ย โœ”๏ธ Ramp-up timelines & realistic throughput


ย โœ”๏ธ How much cash is tied up before payment


ย โœ”๏ธ Why raise $50M if $20M gets you to profitability?


๐Ÿง  ๐‘๐ž๐š๐ฅ ๐‚๐š๐ฌ๐ž:


ย A startup modeled 10,000 t/year. Looked great on paper.


ย After running scenarios:


โ€“ 3,000 t/year was the sweet spot


ย โ€“ Breakeven moved ๐Ÿ ๐ฒ๐ž๐š๐ซ๐ฌ ๐ž๐š๐ซ๐ฅ๐ข๐ž๐ซ


ย โ€“ Capital need dropped from $๐Ÿ“๐ŸŽ๐Œ โ†’ $๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐Œ


Same vision. Smarter execution. Stronger story.


๐Ÿ’ก ๐…๐จ๐ฎ๐ง๐๐ž๐ซ๐ฌ:


ย Thereโ€™s no one-size-fits-all.


ย Thereโ€™s only the right scale for your product, market, and capital strategy.


๐Ÿ“ฉ Want to ๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ฌ-๐ญ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฒ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ ๐ฌ๐œ๐š๐ฅ๐ž-๐ฎ๐ฉ ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐š๐งs?


ย Thatโ€™s exactly what I do for biotech and foodtech startups every week.


๐Ÿ‘‰ DM me or visitย sustech-innovation.comย letโ€™s make sure your business case scales with you, not against you.

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